Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000684 0.000783 0.000889 0.001010 0.001142 0.001284 0.001446
2025-05-25 0.000526 0.000663 0.000819 0.001008 0.001229 0.001479 0.001779
2025-06-01 0.000427 0.000576 0.000754 0.000978 0.001252 0.001571 0.001969
2025-06-08 0.000352 0.000505 0.000697 0.000949 0.001267 0.001649 0.002138
2025-06-15 0.000304 0.000462 0.000667 0.000946 0.001308 0.001754 0.002338
2025-06-22 0.000266 0.000426 0.000642 0.000944 0.001347 0.001854 0.002531
2025-06-29 0.000231 0.000390 0.000612 0.000932 0.001369 0.001932 0.002695
2025-07-06 0.000200 0.000355 0.000580 0.000914 0.001380 0.001993 0.002838
2025-07-13 0.000184 0.000342 0.000577 0.000934 0.001444 0.002122 0.003072
2025-07-20 0.000168 0.000327 0.000570 0.000948 0.001496 0.002238 0.003289
2025-07-27 0.000149 0.000304 0.000548 0.000938 0.001514 0.002307 0.003444
2025-08-03 0.000130 0.000280 0.000524 0.000921 0.001522 0.002359 0.003577
2025-08-10 0.000120 0.000269 0.000518 0.000934 0.001573 0.002476 0.003802
2025-08-17 0.000108 0.000254 0.000507 0.000937 0.001608 0.002570 0.003998
2025-08-24 0.000092 0.000230 0.000476 0.000907 0.001594 0.002592 0.004093
2025-08-31 0.000079 0.000208 0.000449 0.000880 0.001580 0.002614 0.004187
2025-09-07 0.000071 0.000196 0.000437 0.000877 0.001604 0.002690 0.004360
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000185 0.000426 0.000875 0.001629 0.002768 0.004535
2025-09-21 0.000056 0.000172 0.000410 0.000864 0.001638 0.002822 0.004676
2025-09-28 0.000048 0.000159 0.000391 0.000847 0.001636 0.002858 0.004792
2025-10-05 0.000045 0.000156 0.000393 0.000866 0.001694 0.002989 0.005049
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.000151 0.000392 0.000879 0.001742 0.003102 0.005283
2025-10-19 0.000037 0.000141 0.000379 0.000869 0.001752 0.003157 0.005429